Editor’s note: We’ve had people ask us if we could look back at major trades in history and see how they matched up with our model. This is the second installment of this series. (See the first one.) Also note: Since this site (and our model) didn’t exist when these trades occurred, we may not have access to all the data we currently use, so some of the inputs are not as accurate as they would be today. But let’s try it anyway, just for fun. ----- On November 28. 2014,...

The Buffalo Toronto Blue Jays struck another deal on January 27th, adding left-handed pitcher Steven Matz from the New York Mets in exchange for young right-handed pitchers Sean Reid-Foley, Yennsy Diaz and Josh Winckowski. For the Mets, the trade was obvious. Matz struggled mightily in 2020, posting a 9.68 ERA (7.76 FIP) and allowing 14 home runs in his 30.2 innings. He’s owed $5.2M in his last year of arbitration, and that’s money Cohen and company would prefer to direct...

We took a look at the trades made last summer (some of which were made before July 31, others during the previous waiver period) to see how they stack up today. We compared the current values of the players they sold to the values of the players (most of whom are still prospects) they received. How does that Manny Machado package look now? What about the Chris Archer return? Importantly, since many of the veterans traded were rentals at the time, the current value of that player to the...

The Blue Jays are in the midst of a rebuild that should start to pay dividends in 2-3 years, as they build around top prospects Vladimir Guerrero, Jr., Bo Bichette, Danny Jansen and others. With that as their timeframe, any current veteran who has less than two years of control (and possibly three) stands to be traded. We know they will be sellers in the summer of 2019, so let’s take a closer look at the values of their most likely trade chips. We’ve sorted them by median trade...