Blue Jays & Brewers
Submitted by: jmont1
Blue Jays
| Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer | 26 | Majors | SP | Medium | 3.7 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 5.4 |
Total Value:
5
Brewers
| Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 27 | Majors | OF | 2B | Medium | 3.7 | 23.2 | 20.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| Kevin Smith | Minors | 3B | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
Total Value:
5
Comments
5Low level trade for both teams. Gurriel Jr can play 1B, a position for the Brewers that has been a nightmare this year. Panik offers some MLB experience and versatility. The Jays get a SP who is decent and a lottery ticket reliever.
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Lauer is overvalued here and Gurriel Jr. is undervalued. Lauer has never have a ERA+ above 100 , While Gurriel Jr. has had a OPS+ above 110 his whole career excluding this year.
Gurriel is not as high because he's having a rough year and he's on a fixed contract that still owes him over $20M, which means that if the performance goes down faster than the fixed contract, the surplus is going to down too. Lauer is tricky because he's had an erratic career, between starting and relieving and stats that often conflict (he currently has a 5.86 FIP but a 2.90 xFIP, which we think is the more important one). We'll likely downgrade him more on the next update if his actuals go down more, though.
Lauer has not had the best of seasons, but I do agree that the xFIP he has put up is a good number (nobody can argue that), and yes I also agree xFIP is more important. Gurriel Jr., while he hasn’t has a great start to the year year past have proven that it’s just a slow start.
Lauer has not had the best of seasons, but I do agree that the xFIP he has put up is a good number (nobody can argue that), and yes I also agree xFIP is more important. Gurriel Jr., while he hasn’t has a great start to the year year past have proven that it’s just a slow start. For many years he been an above average hitter.