Dodgers & Reds

Submitted by: rhayex

Dodgers

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Luis Castillo29MajorsSPHigh1.553.214.738.530.838.546.3
Brandon Drury29Majors2B3BMedium0.55.40.54.93.94.95.9

Total Value:

43.4

Reds

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Carlos DuranMinorsRHP1.81.41.82.2
Jesus GalizMinorsC1.71.31.72.1
Edgardo HenriquezMinorsRHP2.522.53
Maximo MartinezMinorsRHP1.51.21.51.8
Andy PagesMinorsOF25.320.225.330.4
Ryan Pepiot24MajorsSPLow6.520.64.715.312.215.318.4

Total Value:

48.1

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rhayex

In response to other Reds fans telling me, "Any trade for Castillo has to hurt for the other team", here's the updated proposal. Removed Bruns, added Pepiot to the Reds side and added Drury to the Dodgers. As an aside, fans are way too invested in top 100 prospect lists; those are rarely reflective of a prospect's actual value. Connor Phillips was thought of as the "throw-in" to the Mariners/Reds trade last year; half a year later and he's looking like the crown jewel while the "headliner" Brandon Williamson looks like a flop. Williamson is still on top 100 lists through sheer inertia while Phillips hasn't landed on them yet because it takes a while for them to be updated. Anyway. Pasted from before: To start: Andy Pages. The Dodgers have reportedly had him available in trades for the last year or so. His minor league numbers are incredible, but he reportedly has some hittability issues (altho given his stats, I find that hard to believe). He’d be the headliner returning to the Reds. Pepiot is a high-upside strikeout artist who walks about 4.5/9 at AAA. He's a definite major leaguer, but will need to bring the walks down and find more consistency before he can reach his full potential. He's ready for the majors right now, however, and would instantly slot into Castillo's slot in the rotation for the Reds. The other non-pitching prospect, Galiz is a catcher who reportedly has great defensive instincts and *just enough* physical tools that there’s a chance he becomes a solid major-league regular. It’s far more likely, however, that he winds up a defensive-minded backup catcher barring unforeseen development with his hit tool. Now, for the rest of the pitchers. Duran, Henriquez, and Martinez are all a product of the Dodgers absolutely insane pitching development system; while a dime a dozen for the Dodgers, these teenagers would all rank around the top 15-20 in most organizations. They’re all high velo, high spin rate development projects. All of them have definite relief and bust risk, but also have great upside. This is an interesting trade; I don’t know how it would pan out. On one hand, it could absolutely blow up in the Dodgers face; if Pages becomes a star, Galiz develops a hit tool, and Duran, Henriquez, and Martinez all develop to their full potentials it could look like a disaster. On the other hand, there’s a solid chance that the Reds get 0 future major leaguers out of this deal as all of the players coming back to them require a significant amount of improvement and their player development post-Boddy and Gillman has looked absolutely dreadful. I think ultimately the Dodgers would be happy enough to trade these arms and Pages for Castillo given how fantastic their scouting and dev system is. Pages instantly becomes the Reds #2 prospect after Elly de La Cruz and each of the remaining prospects slots in solidly from 10-20.

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