Giants & Yankees

Submitted by: jadam7212

Giants

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Anthony GarciaMinorsOF1.71.21.72.2
Justin LangeMinorsRHP2.72.22.73.2
Hayden WesneskiMinorsRHP9.17.39.110.9

Total Value:

13.5

Yankees

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Alex Cobb34MajorsSPLow2.414.514.7-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.2
Heliot RamosMinorsOF11.59.211.513.8

Total Value:

11.3

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jadam7212

NOTE: Ramos is NOT part of this proposed deal, lol - btv just wouldn't let me put this through with Cobb as the piece. A bit curious about the Cobb BTV AFV? This guy is, imo, a #3 if not #2 starter under team control including a club option (!?!?) for 3 years. His 4 ERA belies his healthily above average if not elite statcast under the hood metrics. I actually don't think it would be completely insane for Waldichuk to centerpiece the deal. The Giants potentially make this sort of move with the feeling that they'd otherwise be chasing 85 wins while..playing in the modern NL West division.

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johnbitzer

Cobb is worth about what he's making. The FA contract he signed was at fair value, and nothing much has changed that. He is pitching well this year, but he has a long track record of being average-ish, with some injury history to boot, and aging curves generally aren't kind to older pitchers -- he'll be 35 and 36 in those next two years.

jadam7212

thanks John, fair enough - i was a bit surprised because if i look at cobb over this past 1.5 seasons it seems like he’s hitting 2 fwar or thereabouts without even getting to 100ip. that makes sense though, if its projected that he could produce 2-3 fwar over the entirety of 23-25 due to injuries amplifying the aging curve, then that surplus from this year gets cancelled

jadam7212

thanks John, fair enough - i’m sure this isn’t exactly how it works with dollars per war in your algorithm, but i was a bit surprised because if i look at cobb over this past 1.5 seasons it seems like he’s hitting 2 fwar or thereabouts without even getting to 100ip. that makes sense though, if its projected that he could produce 2-3 fwar over the entirety of 23-25 due to injuries, then that surplus from this year gets cancelled

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