Orioles & Brewers

February 5, 2024

Orioles

Name	Age	Level	P1	P2	Availability	Years	AFV	Salary	Surplus	Low	Median	High
Willy Adames	28	Majors	SS		Medium	1	23.5	12.4	11.1	8.9	11.1	13.3
Devin Williams	29	Majors	RP		Low	2	39.9	17.5	22.4	17.9	22.4	26.8

Total Value:

33.5

Brewers

Name	Age	Level	P1	Availability	Years	AFV	Salary	Surplus	Low	Median	High
Dean Kremer	28	Majors	SP	Low	4	40.9	22.2	18.7	15	18.7	22.5
Connor Norby	23	Minors	2B		0	0	0	8	6.4	8	9.6
Cade Povich	23	Minors	SP		0	0	0	5.1	4.1	5.1	6.2
Jud Fabian	23	Minors	OF		0	0	0	6.5	5.2	6.5	7.8

Total Value:

38.3

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Comments

jmont1

February 6, 2024 at 9:21 AM

I think both teams have a problem with this. The Brewers don't want Norby or Fabian and the O's don't need Adames.

Xfactor

February 10, 2024 at 3:00 AM

Also-and I say this as an o’s fan-this severely underrates Williams’ value

johnbitzer

February 10, 2024 at 3:10 AM

As you can see by the numbers above, based on our model, Williams' field value for the two years left of his control is $39.9M, or roughly a $20M AAV -- which is the absolute top of the market (even higher than what Josh Hader just signed for). Subtract his salary of $17.5M and you get a surplus value of $22.4M. Not sure how that is severely underrating his value.