Reds & White Sox
Submitted by: BodamEscapePlan
Reds
| Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Bummer | 29 | Majors | RP | Medium | 3.4 | 31.2 | 21.8 | 9.4 | 7.5 | 9.4 | 11.3 | |
| Lucas Giolito | 28 | Majors | SP | Medium | 0.4 | 14 | 4.3 | 9.7 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 11.7 | |
| Gavin Sheets | 27 | Majors | 1B | DH | Medium | 4.4 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Wilfred Veras | 20 | Minors | 1B | 6 | 4.8 | 6 | 7.2 |
Total Value:
29.3
White Sox
| Name | Age | Level | P1 | P2 | Availability | Years | AFV | Salary | Surplus | Low | Median | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain | 24 | Majors | SS | 2B | 6.4 | 77.8 | 47.4 | 30.4 | 24.3 | 30.4 | 36.4 | |
| Nick Senzel | 28 | Majors | OF | 2B | Very low | 2.4 | 8.2 | 8.6 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
Total Value:
30
Comments
2It's trades like this that make me ponder if the values (which are updated daily, it would seem) are anything close to accurate. Take this trade for example, as a White Sox fan, this seems heavily one-sided with Cincinnati overpaying for half a season of Giolito, a a left-handed reliever with great 'sruff' but a spotty track record the past 2+ seasons, and two throw-ins with the lefty-swinging power bat of Gavin Sheets and a talented but mostly unknown 1B/corner outfield prospect in Wilfred Veras. McLain has earned a lot more value this season than he came into 2023 with and his versatility and upside are quite literally a perfect fit with the White Sox. In addition, we get Nick Senzel, who I'll admit is getting older and hasn't lived up to his projected potential as a very highly rated prospect, at one time +- but he's absolutely gotten better and surely doesn't deserve to be valued as a net negative asset on this site. But maybe I'm wrong. I'd love to have a Reds fan post their thoughts about this dealm
NEWSLETTER? SURE, SIGN ME UP!
The White Sox would be getting 6.4 years of a shortstop who's hitting 36% above league average and playing great defense, all of which would be under market value in salary. He's the big get. Senzel has never come close to putting up a league-average season at the plate, and he's heading into his expensive Arb2 year. He's a non-tender candidate for most teams, which is why his value is slightly negative. On the other side, Bummer's 2023 numbers are solid. Don't focus on the ERA, as that is an incredibly noisy stat for relievers. His advanced stats, which are what most FOs look at, and which have more predictive value, are right in line with his track record. His 2.36 FIP is, in fact, his best since 2020. The rest of the values would seem self-explanatory. It's a fair trade.