Edwin Diaz. Jose Altuve. Rhys Hoskins. Gavin Lux. Brendan Rodgers. All are injured and out for significant portions of the 2023 season (in the cases of Diaz, Hoskins and Lux, it looks like the entire season), so their respective teams would be wise to test the trade market for replacement help. Meanwhile, the Yankees’ rotation has been decimated, at least temporarily. Luis Severino, Carlos Rodon, and Frankie Montas are all on the IL. Clarke Schmidt has gone from likely bullpen arm to...

After a brief hiatus, we'd like to welcome you back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@BitzerDigital) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_oak) discuss the recent Jorge Mateo trade, as well as a new Padres-Brewers Trade of the Week. Then, they go through the recent updates made to player values and dive into the shortened season and the unpredictable trade market that comes with it. The full episode is now available through the player below, or...

In the second edition of our podcast series, BTV editors John Bitzer and Joshua Iversen address the rumors about a potential Wil Myers deal to the Red Sox, and what it might look like; highlight our featured trade of the week, which includes a Kris Bryant move; and break down three of the most significant trades so far this offseason. Listen to the episode here in the player, click the link below to download or find it on your favorite podcast provider! Any questions or comments? Email us at...

When news broke on Feb. 4 of the [baseball-trade-values-player-link player="7685"]trade to the Dodgers, there was an avalanche of media coverage. As is typical, it started with the news, then was followed by a slew of analyses about what the trade meant for each team. Here at BTV, we just sat back and waited. Why? Not only was the trade not yet official; the reports were also missing one of the most important pieces of the puzzle: how much money was Boston paying to cover the remaining $96M...

In the interest of transparency, it’s time for an update on how the BTV model is doing this offseason relative to real-life trades -- with one caveat: A.J. Preller. Our model assumes most GMs will act rationally, and seek to get the best overall value possible in a deal, just as in most other walks of life, which means most deals are pretty close to fair. But we also know that’s not always the case. GMs have different motivations depending on where they are in the win cycle, and...

When the Padres and Brewers agreed on a trade recently, my first thought was: that’s ridiculous. The package the Brewers received from San Diego far exceeded any reasonable bounds of a fair trade. We had Luis Urias at 55.2, and Trent Grisham at 8.8 at the time. Further, we had Eric Lauer at 16.5 and Zach Davies at 0.8. That’s a huge gap. As Dan Szymborski of Fangraphs (and ZiPS creator) wrote: If Urías is eventually traded, I’m sincerely hopeful it’s part of a...

We took a look at the trades made last summer (some of which were made before July 31, others during the previous waiver period) to see how they stack up today. We compared the current values of the players they sold to the values of the players (most of whom are still prospects) they received. How does that Manny Machado package look now? What about the Chris Archer return? Importantly, since many of the veterans traded were rentals at the time, the current value of that player to the...

If you’re a GM, this is the list you don’t want to have your players on. According to our calculations, the following 50 players have the least amount of trade value right now – or, put another way, the most amount of negative value. These are not necessarily bad players; they’re players whose contracts are bigger than their projected field value. Not surprisingly, the common thread here is that most of them are older and past their prime. Only eight of these 50...