Brewers & Dodgers

Submitted by: DannyJ

Brewers

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Bobby MillerMinorsRHP3426.23440.8
Ryan Pepiot24MajorsSPLow613.42.311.18.911.113.3
Gavin StoneMinorsRHP22.217.822.226.6
Miguel Vargas22Majors1B3BLow630.40.729.723.729.735.7
Alex Vesia26MajorsLHRPMedium428.811.81713.61720.4

Total Value:

114

Dodgers

NameAgeLevelP1P2AvailabilityYearsAFVSalarySurplusLowMedianHigh
Corbin Burnes27MajorsSPLow2106.828.578.362.778.394
Jake Cousins27MajorsRHRPMedium51.61.50.20.10.20.2
Tyrone Taylor28MajorsOFHigh419.56.812.710.212.715.2
Luis Urias25MajorsSS2BLow343.925.818.114.518.121.7

Total Value:

109.3

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DannyJ

May be one of those deals where there are many moving pieces, but I think it would help both sides.. Dodgers get - Ace level pitcher that I'm sure is always wanted. - Taylor is a solid OF. Not gonna blow you away, but far better than an AAAA guy. -Urias can move all over the diamond and provide solid offensive value. -Cousins is a wild card bullpen arm that LAD always seems to find value from. Brewers get - High end pitching within the next year from Miller/Stone. -Vargas provides a good amount of power from a CI position that the brewers should have. -Vesia is another potentially high leverage bullpen arm -Pepiot with potential in either the rotation or bullpen, Controllable and MLB ready. Both sides get controllable pieces at needed positions.. Thoughts?

Spikes

Hey DannyJ, Thanks for posting this trade and for your comments. You make some good points why this trade is good for both teams. I'm a Brewer fan and I think if the Brewers are going to trade Burnes, this return package would be very tempting. A couple of concerns for both teams: Brewers: Where to play Vargas? He has played 3B mostly in the minors but with a fielding average of .922. Since the Brewers are trading Urias in this trade I'm guessing Milwaukee would make every effort to give him every opportunity to be the regular 3B. Vargas is still young and maybe he continues to improve. If it doesn't work out, my guess is that at least for 2023 he can DH against left-handed pitchers (Winker should only bat against right-handed pitchers) and play some 1B and corner OF. The Brewers are trading their ace pitcher so competing for a playoff spot in 2023 will be more difficult. One, or a combination of Stone, Miller and/or Pepiot could help the rotation this year but it's a risk. IMHO, it is a risk worth taking because of the long-term potential of these pitchers. Vesia is a nice addition and should easily take the place of Cousins. Trading Taylor is also a risk. Yelich, Mitchell and Frelick bat left-handed so I think the Brewers would be looking to trade for another right-handed hitting outfielder. Vargas or Wiemer could possibly fill that position, but Vargas's outfield experience is limited, and both are still rookies that would be added to Mitchell and Frelick, also rookies. It's a risk. Dodgers: They are trading away some really good prospects with lots of control. However, if they are able to sign Burnes to a long-term extension that would help make this trade look better. From what I've read the payroll tax may be a factor why the Dodgers wouldn't do this trade, but they make think Burnes is worth it. To be clear, I still like the trade. As I look more closely at this, Urias, Cousins and Taylor are a pretty good fit, and it wasn't till I took a closer look at the Dodgers depth chart that I realized this. So, which team says no. I think the Dodgers would be more reluctant to make this trade so they can keep the prospects and take a chance that Vargas can be the starting third baseman for the coming season. The Dodgers could also hope that the trio of pitchers they would trade to Milwaukee could be a help to them in 2023. Since it's a popular theory that the Brewers will eventually have to trade at least one of Burnes, Woodruff or Adames, I think this trade package would be as good as the Brewers would get and they would make the trade. So, those are my thoughts.

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