The BTV Podcast #123: Trade Deadline Madness

We breakdown all the trends we saw, including how all the trades looked in our model.

Trades That Didn't Happen, But Should Have

The Cubs and Red Sox could have made these deals

2025 Trade Deadline Analysis

How did our model do? And what trends did we see?

Trade Deadline Roundup

See how all the real MLB trades looked in our model

Featured Trades

Giants GET

Trystan Vrieling

1.4

Jesus Rodriguez

1.8

Carlos De La Rosa

0.2

Total Value

3.40

Yankees GET

Camilo Doval

3.5

Total Value

3.5

lowman25

White Sox GET

Curtis Mead

3.3

Ben Peoples

1.6

Total Value

4.9

Rays GET

Adrian Houser

4.5

Total Value

4.5

Jflores_03

Astros GET

Carlos Correa

-35.1

Cash

33

Total Value

-2.10

Twins GET

Total Value

0

Romramirez

Twins GET

Taj Bradley

30.2

Total Value

30.2

Rays GET

Griffin Jax

25.7

Total Value

25.7

Deathstarchris88

NEWSLETTER? SURE, SIGN ME UP!

johnbitzer

0

Now that the deadline has passed, we can see more clearly that some teams didn't fill all their needs. In particular, the Cubs and Red Sox both needed a top-of-the-rotation starter, and didn't get one. Both are being criticized now for being too value-conscious, and/or too difficult to negotiate with. So let's play some woulda coulda shoulda, and see what might have been.   The Cubs It’s tough to envision the Cubs going deep into the playoffs with a rotation of Matthew Boyd, Colin...

johnbitzer

0

How did our model do at the 2025 deadline?   Starting with the Josh Naylor trade, here’s the scorecard:   Number of trades: 64 Number accepted by the model: 57 Acceptance rate: 88% Average value variance per deal: 3.5   We’re pretty happy with that. The trade market is inherently inefficient, and there are multiple variables involved, so to go 57-7 feels good. Also, it’s a bit of an improvement on last year, where our acceptance rate was 83% and the average...

Epsiode 123

123 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the model's performance at the 2025 MLB Trade Deadline and all of the biggest trends seen in the market. Then, they analyze the biggest trades and the most active teams, including the Padres, Twins, Yankees and Mets. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link...

Epsiode 122

110 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down all the latest trades leading up to the deadline, including Josh Naylor to the Mariners, Ryan McMahon to the Yankees and more. Then, they discuss the latest rumors and preview the deadline, including bubble teams like the Rays, Guardians, Twins and Cardinals. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the...

Epsiode 121

93 Minutes

Joshua Iversen

0

Welcome back to the Baseball Trade Values Podcast! In this episode, founder John Bitzer (@johnbitzer2) and Associate Editor Joshua Iversen (@jive_mlb) break down the Boston Red Sox recent hot streak following the Rafael Devers. Then, they discuss recent transactions and rumors, including the Bryan Baker deal and which bubble teams are trending more toward selling. Listen to the episode through your favorite podcast provider, or via the media player or download link...